Inflação e divisão da Europa

Ontem publiquei um pequeno texto em inglês na minha página do Facebook em que tentava alertar para o que parece ser já um desastre.
A inflação na Hungria é de 22%, na Turquia 84%, na Argentina 88%, na zona euro 10%.
Lembro que a inflação na Alemanha de Weimar no período entre guerras era de 10000% e que a Hungria no pós 2a guerra mundial chegou a ter inflação na ordem dos zeta!
Li hoje uma notícia no jornal online ECO em que se dizia que o BCE se prepara para uma subida de 0,5 pontos na sua taxa de referência que é já de 2%.
A Turquia é um país asiático, mas também europeu mas que não integra a União Europeia, ao contrário da Hungria, um país "core" da Europa mas que não tem o euro como moeda.
Estive a analisar os países com maior inflação e o leste da europa têm inflação muito elevada, apesar de ao contrário dos países da eurooa ocidental não terem dividas públicas significativas.
O que está a fazer disparar a inflação no leste da europa são os custos da energia.
O BCE não deve simplesmente subir taxas porque isso se refletirá nos encargos com juros a pagar pelas dívidas públicas nos países da europa ocidental e devia pelo contrário levar o euro ao leste europeu tão rápido quanto possível bem como dar esperanças aos turcos num futuro comum.
Caso contrário o que se perspectiva é de novo uma Alemanha dividida e uma Europa dividida.

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